Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 4.040305 4.395133 4.785843 5.251702 5.797066 6.421742 7.201035
2025-11-30 3.534710 3.995419 4.537374 5.234399 6.126637 7.260258 8.863530
2025-12-07 3.156603 3.644966 4.241452 5.043971 6.130448 7.609784 9.900671
2025-12-14 2.865738 3.358618 3.976802 4.836191 6.049755 7.794546 10.709131
2025-12-21 2.711406 3.224206 3.884463 4.833281 6.233419 8.369101 12.261876
2025-12-28 2.570606 3.092617 3.779188 4.793334 6.347176 8.845083 13.788389
2026-01-04 2.404865 2.915023 3.595336 4.618647 6.226788 8.908202 14.543838
2026-01-11 2.311934 2.828291 3.528710 4.606500 6.356041 9.416976 16.409118
2026-01-18 2.265141 2.800388 3.540857 4.711120 6.686363 10.356328 19.727966
2026-01-25 2.401558 3.035132 3.948941 5.479962 8.304967 14.387450 35.704843
2026-02-01 2.253288 2.853433 3.722339 5.186111 7.910460 13.865545 35.518490
2026-02-08 2.134183 2.709245 3.545760 4.964537 7.633711 13.580401 36.260437
2026-02-15 2.073276 2.656587 3.520492 5.024568 7.976671 15.083770 48.611105
2026-02-22 1.998307 2.579987 3.454241 5.009839 8.175683 16.347455 64.508883
2026-03-01 1.896587 2.457414 3.306220 4.832380 7.993724 16.446810 73.039134
2026-03-08 1.799927 2.337992 3.156329 4.638565 7.747820 16.277530 79.414110
2026-03-15 1.749612 2.286368 3.112434 4.635847 7.933043 17.592916 113.671114
2026-03-22 1.696590 2.227883 3.053430 4.598540 8.031408 18.682728 164.595289
2026-03-29 1.623638 2.135621 2.933777 4.435239 7.801702 18.463695 185.575781
2026-04-05 1.583599 2.092823 2.894168 4.423874 7.946145 19.810364 327.127955
2026-04-12 1.565521 2.083334 2.909569 4.521718 8.388058 22.775145 1882.396703
2026-04-19 1.645358 2.232852 3.208143 5.237952 10.764868 40.346105 NaN
2026-04-26 1.569558 2.127311 3.050857 4.964781 10.130743 37.010820 NaN